Tag Archives: “Pre-Season Strength Projections”

FCS Roby Ratings 2016 Pre-Season

Team                                  2015 Record               Poll Ranking                 Score

1.North Dakota St.                  13-2                                  1                               36

2.  Jacksonville St                      13-2                                  3                              34

3.Sam Houston St.                 11-4                                   2                               31

4. Richmond                            10-4                                  4                                29

5.  Charleston Southern         10-3                                  6                               28

6. Northern Iowa                      9-5                                  5                                 26

7. Chattanooga                         9-4                                  7                                26

8. McNeese St.                          10-1                                 9                                26

9. Illinois St.                               10-3                                 8                                25

10. William & Mary                   9-4                                  10                               21

11. James Madison                    9-3                                 11                               21

12. Portland St.                          9-3                                  12                              20

13. South Dakota St.                 8-4                                   14                             18

14. Montana                               8-5                                  13                              17

15. The Citadel                          9-4                                   15                              16

16. Harvard                               9-1                                     19                             15

17. Colgate                                 9-5                                   16                             14

18. Fordham                              9-3                                    20                             12

19. Northern Arizona               7-4                                     18                            11

20. Eastern Washington          6-5                                    17                             10

21. North Carolina A&T          10-2                                   25                              9

22.Dartmouth                          9-1                                      33                            8.37

23. Dayton                                 10-2                                    47                              8.04

24. North Dakota                      7-4                                    21                              8

25. Bethune-Cookman           9-2                                       30                          7.51

26. Prarie View A&M                9-2                                        49                           7.03

27. Southern Utah                    8-4                                    23                              7

28. San Diego                             8-2                                      48                            6.03

29. Grambling St.                       9-3                                    51                              6.02

30. Coastal Carolina                 9-3                                     NR                             6.00

31. North Carolina Central      8-3                                     42                           5.08

32. Alcorn St.                              9-4                                     43                            5.08

33. Villanova                              6-5                                    22                              5

34. Pennsylvania                       7-3                                      41                           4.10

35. Duquesne                            8-4                                     45                             4.05

36. Towson                               7-4                                      29                             3.56

37. South Carolina St.              7-4                                      31                            3.49

38. St. Francis (PA)                  7-4                                       NR                            3.00

39. Tennessee-Martin             7-4                                     NR                            3.00

40. Morehead St.                     7-4                                     NR                             3.00

41. Western Carolina              7-4                                      NR                            3.00

42. Central Arkansas               7-4                                     NR                             3.00

43.  Eastern Illinois                   7-5                                      26                             2.7

44. New Hampshire                 7-5                                      28                            2.6

45.  Western Illinois                  7-6                                     24                              2

46. Yale                                      6-4                                      NR                            2

47. Samford                               6-5                                      38                          1,84

48. Eastern Kentucky               6-5                                      27                            1.7

49. Liberty                                  6-5                                      35                          1.25

50. Weber St.                             6-5                                       46                           1.05

51. Northern Colorado            6-5                                      NR                           1.00

52. Kennesaw St                       6-5                                      NR                           1.00

53. Hampton                            6-5                                       NR                            1.00

54. Holy Cross                         6-5                                       NR                            1.00

55. Lehigh                               6-5                                          NR                           1.00

56. Butler                                 6-5                                        NR                             1.00

57. Incarnate Word                6-5                                         NR                             1.00

58. Southern                           6-5                                         NR                             1.00

59. Alabama St.                       6-5                                        NR                              1.00

60. Stony Brook                       5-5                                       NR                              0

61. Brown                                  5-5                                      NR                              0

62. Youngstown St.                  5-6                                      32                           -0.6

63. Montana St.                        5-6                                      34                          -0.69

64. Monmouth                         5-6                                       38                          -0.84

65. South Dakota                        5-6                                     50                          -0.97

66. Wofford                                 5-6                                      52                           -0.98

67. Bryant                                    5-6                                    53                              -0.99

68. Morgan St                                  5-6                                    NR                       -1.00

69. Indiana St.                              5-6                                      NR                        -1.00

70. Drake                                    5-6                                       NR                       -1.00

71. Campbell                            5-6                                         NR                        -1.00

72. Marist                                 5-6                                        NR                          -1.00

73. Mercer                                5-6                                        NR                           -1.00

74. Lamar                                5-6                                          NR                          -1.00

75. Tennessee St.                    4-6                                         NR                         -2.00

76. Southeastern La.                4-7                                      36                          -2.83

77. Southeast Missouri St.      4-7                                      37                           -2.83

78. Stephen F. Austin               4-7                                     44                             -2.95

79. Cal-Poly                               4-7                                      54                             -3.0

80. Gardner-Webb                   4-7                                       NR                            -3.0

81. Delaware                            4-7                                        NR                           -3.0

82. Elon                                     4-7                                       NR                            -3.0

83. Norfolk St.                          4-7                                       NR                             -3.0

84. Robert Morris                    4-7                                      NR                             -3.0

85. Central Conn. St.                4-7                                     NR                             -3.0

86. Tennessee Tech                 4-7                                      NR                            -3.0

87. Georgetown                       4-7                                       NR                           -3.0

88. Bucknell                              4-7                                       NR                           -3.0

89. Furman                                4-7                                       NR                           -3.0

90. Northwestern St.               4-7                                       NR                            -3.0

91. Texas Southern                 3-7                                        NR                          -4.0

92.  Jackson St.                          3-8                                      35                            -4.76

93. Maine                                  3-8                                       NR                            -5.0

94. Southern Illinois                3-8                                       NR                             -5.0

95. Murray St.                           3-8                                      NR                             -5.0

96. Stetson                                3-8                                       NR                           -5.0

97. Abilene Christian                3-8                                      NR                           -5.0

98. Nicholls St.                           3-8                                      NR                           -5.0

99. Alabama A&M                     3-8                                       NR                           -5.0

100. Albany                                  3-9                                      NR                          -6.00

101. Columbia                             2-8                                     NR                           -6.00

103. UC-Davis                              2-9                                     NR                             -7.0

104. Sacramento St.                  2-9                                      NR                             -7.0

105. Idaho St.                              2-9                                     NR                              -7.0

106. Presbyterian                       2-9                                     NR                              -7.0

107. Valparaiso                           2-9                                     NR                              -7.0

108.Davidson                             2-9                                      NR                             -7.0

109. East Tennessee St.            2-9                                      NR                             -7.0

110. Va. Military Institute          2-9                                      NR                            -7.0

111.Houston Baptist                 2-9                                     NR                              -7.0

112. Arkansas Pine Bluff            2-9                                     NR                            -7.0

113.Cornell                                 1-9                                     NR                              -8.0

114. Savannah St.                       1-9                                    NR                              -8.0

115. Rhode Island                      1-10                                   NR                              -9.0

116. Delaware St                       1-10                                   NR                               -9.0

117. Florida A&M                       1-10                                 NR                                -9.0

119. Howard                               1-10                                  NR                              -.9.0

120.  Missouri St.                         1-10                                NR                               -9.0

121. Wagner                                  1-10                               NR                               -9.0

122. Lafayette                                1-10                              NR                               -9.0

123 Miss. Valley St.                       1-10                              NR                               -9.0

124. Austin Peay                            0-11                              NR                             -11.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Roby Ratings Major College Football Pre-Season #’s 1-125

Team               Pre-Season Strength Projection     Conference                       Conference Factor

1. Oklahoma                      35                                           Big Twelve                       31.68

2. Florida State                   34                                           ACC                                  30.46

3.Auburn                             30                                           SEC                                   30.00

3. Texas A&M                     30                                           SEC                                   30.00

5.USC                                  30                                        Pac Twelve                         29.79

5.UCLA                               30                                         Pac Twelve                         29.79

7. Georgia                          29                                             SEC                                  29.00

7. South Carolina             29                                             SEC                                   29.00

7. LSU                                29                                              SEC                                   29.00

10. Ohio State                      30                                          Big Ten                              27.96

11. Alabama                        27                                            SEC                                  27.00

12.Stanford                        27                                           Pac Twelve                         26.81

13. Oregon                         27                                            Pac Twelve                       26.81

14. Michigan State             27                                           Big Ten                              25.16

15.  Mississippi                 25                                             SEC                                   25.00

16. Clemson                        27                                            ACC                                  24.19

17.  Mississippi State      24                                              SEC                                   24.00

17.   Florida                       24                                              SEC                                   24.00

19.Miami                            26                                             ACC                                    23.30

19.Duke                              26                                            ACC                                    23.30

19.Maryland                         26                                             Big Ten                            23.30

22. Missouri                       23                                            SEC                                       23.00

23. Arizona State               23                                         Pacific Twelve                       22.84

23. Oregon State              23                                           Pacific Twelve                      22.84

25. Navy                            26                                          Independent                         22.46

26.North Carolina          25                                             ACC                                      22.40

27.Penn State                24                                            Big Ten                                   22.37

27. Indiana                    24                                              Big Ten                                  22.37

29. Syracuse                 24                                              ACC                                        21.50

30. Michigan                 23                                             Big Ten                                   21.44

30. Minnesota               23                                             Big Ten                                  21.44

32.Kentucky                 21                                                SEC                                       21.00

33. Washington            21                                        Pacific Twelve                            20.85

33. Arizona                  21                                           Pacific Twelve                          20.85

33. Colorado               21                                            Pacific Twelve                         20.85

36. Texas                      23                                           Big Twelve                              20.82

37.Notre Dame             24                                           Independent                         20.74

38. Iowa                         22                                             Big Ten                                 20.50

38. Northwestern        22                                             Big Ten                                  20.50

38. Illinois                     22                                              Big Ten                                 20.50

41. Tennessee               20                                                 SEC                                  20.00

41. Vanderbilt               20                                                  SEC                                 20.00

43. Washington State  20                                             Pacific Twelve                      19.86

44. Virginia Tech         22                                                 ACC                                   19.71

44. Pittsburgh              22                                                ACC                                   19.71

46. Nebraska                21                                               Big Ten                               19.57

47.UCF                            29                                               AAC                                    19.49

48. Baylor                      21                                            Big Twelve                          19.01

48. Oklahoma State     21                                             Big Twelve                         19.01

48. Texas Tech             21                                              Big Twelve                         19.01

48. Texas Christian      21                                              Big Twelve                         19.01

52. Arkansas                 19                                                 SEC                                  19.00

53. Wisconsin                20                                               Big Ten                              18.64

54. Louisville                   27                                              ACC                                   18.14

55. Louisiana                   28                                             SBC                                       18.12

56. Kansas State             20                                            Big Twelve                           18.10

56. Kansas                       20                                             Big Twelve                           18.10

56. Iowa State                 20                                            Big Twelve                            18.10

56. West Virginia            20                                            Big Twelve                             18.10

60. NC State                   20                                              ACC                                       17.92

61. Georgia Tech           19                                              ACC                                      17.02

61. Virginia                      19                                             ACC                                      17.02

63.Houston                      25                                             AAC                                     16.80

64.Cincinnati                  24                                              AAC                                     16.13

65. California                    16                                        Pacific Twelve                       15.89

66. No. Illinois                     28                                           MAC                                    15.71

67. Rutgers                       23                                          Big Ten                                   15.46

68. Fresno State              26                                             MWC                                   15.39

69. Boston College           17                                             ACC                                    15.23

70. UTSA                              28                                          CUSA                                   14.95

71. Central Michigan     26                                              MAC                                     14.58

72. Wake Forest             16                                              ACC                                      14.34

73. Memphis                   21                                              AAC                                     14.11

74. Purdue                      15                                            Big Ten                                 13.98

75. Old Dominion          26                                             CUSA                                    13.88

76. Boise St.                    23                                             MWC                                     13.62

76. Colorado State        23                                              MWC                                     13.62

76. UNLV                         23                                              MWC                                    13.62

76. Nevada                     23                                               MWC                                   13.62

76. Wyoming                  23                                               MWC                                   13.62

81. Arkansas St.             21                                               SBC                                     13.59

81. South Alabama        21                                               SBC                                     13.59

81. La. Monroe               21                                               SBC                                     13.59

84. Ball State                  24                                               MAC                                    13.46

84. Bowling Green        24                                                MAC                                   13.46

84. Toledo                     24                                                 MAC                                    13.46

87. SMU                          20                                                AAC                                   13.44

88. Marshall                    25                                              CUSA                                  13.35

88. Ga. Southern           25                                                SBC                                    13.35

90. Western Kentucky  20                                                CUSA                                  12.94

91. San Jose State          21                                                MWC                                 12.43

92. Texas State              19                                                 SBC                                   12.29

93. Rice                           23                                                CUSA                                  12.28

94. USF                            18                                                AAC                                   12.10

95. San Diego State       20                                               MWC                                   11.84

96. Army                         22                                                IND                                     11.75

97. Connecticut             17                                                AAC                                    11.42

98. Kent State                20                                                MAC                                   11.22

98. Akron                       20                                                 MAC                                   11.22

98. Ohio                         20                                                  MAC                                  11.22

98. Buffalo                     20                                                 MAC                                   11.22

102. Tulane                      21                                                 AAC                                   11.21

102. Appalachian St.      21                                                  SBC                                   11.21

102. Fla. International    21                                                 CUSA                                 11.21

105. Temple                     16                                                AAC                                   10.75

106. Tulsa                         20                                                AAC                                    10.68

106. Middle Tennessee  20                                               CUSA                                  10.68

106. UTEP                         20                                               CUSA                                   10.68

106. North Texas            20                                               CUSA                                  10.68

110. Eastern Michigan    19                                               MAC                                  10.66

110. Air Force                  18                                                 MWC                                  10.66

112. Troy                          16                                                 SBC                                     10.35

113. East Carolina           19                                                 AAC                                    10.15

113. La. Tech                    19                                               CUSA                                   10.15

115. New Mexico           17                                                 MWC                                  10.07

116. So. Mississippi        18                                                CUSA                                    9.61

116. UAB                          18                                                 CUSA                                    9.61

116. Idaho                        18                                                 SBC                                      9.61

119. Hawaii                      16                                                  MWC                                   9.47

120. Fla. Atlantic             17                                                 CUSA                                    9.08

121. Miami (OH)              16                                                 MAC                                     8.98

122. Western Michigan  15                                                 MAC                                     8.42

123. Georgia State          12                                                  SBC                                     7.76

124. Massachusetts        13                                                 MAC                                     7.29

125. New Mexico State   13                                                SBC                                     6.94

(H/T:  NCAA.com, Jim Steele, and Rivals)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014 Pre-Season Football Strength Projection- Mid-American Conference

Mid-American Conference           2013 Record           Returning Starters          RRR         CS

Northern Illinois                                   12-2                                      16                          #95(0)     28
Ball State                                                10-3                                      14                         #96(0)      24
Bowling Green                                       10-4                                      14                         #99(0)     24
Buffalo                                                     8-5                                        12                        #108(0)   20
Toledo                                                      7-5                                        17                          #90(0)   24
Ohio                                                          7-6                                        13                        #103(0)   20
Central Michigan                                     6-6                                       20                        #101(0)    26
Akron                                                         5-7                                       15                        #111(0)    20
Kent State                                                  4-8                                       16                       #111(0)    20
Eastern Michigan                                      2-10                                    17                       #108(0)     19
Western Michigan                                     1-11                                    14                         #59(0)     15
Massachusetts                                           1-11                                    12                       #109(0)     13
Miami (OH)                                                  0-12                                    16                       #117         16

Predicted Finishes:

East

1. Ohio

2. Bowling Green

3. Akron

4. Kent State

5. Buffalo

6. Miami (OH)

7. Massachusetts

West

1. Northern Illinois

2. Central Michigan

3. Toledo

4. Ball State

5. Eastern Michigan

6. Western Michigan

Predicted MAC Champions:

Northern Illinois Huskies

(H/T: Rivals, Phil Steele, and NCAA.com)

 

2014 Pre-Season Strength Projection- Independents

Independent Team                2013 Record           Returning Starters           RRR            CS

Notre Dame                                   9-4                                     13                             #11(2)        24
Brigham Young                             8-5                                     14                             #71(0)        22
Navy                                                9-4                                     17                             #122(0)      26
Army                                               3-9                                     19                              NR(0)         22

Predicted Finishes:

1.Navy

2.Notre Dame

3. Brigham Young

4.Army

(H/T:  NCAA.com, Phil Steele, and Rivals )

2014 Pre-Season Football Strength Projection- Sun Belt Conference

Sun Belt Conference     2013 Record     Returning Starters    RRR     CS

Louisiana                                9-4                            19                       #101(0)    28
Arkansas State                       8-5                            13                        #86(0)      21
Appalachian State                 4-8                             17                        NR(0)       21
Georgia Southern                  7-4                            18                         NR(0)      25
Louisiana-Monroe                 6-6                             15                        #103(0)   21
Texas State                             6-6                              13                       #94(0)     19
Troy                                          6-6                            10                        #121(0)   16
South Alabama                       6-6                            15                        #116(0)   21
Idaho                                       1-11                          17                         #96(0)     18
New Mexico State                  2-10                          11                       #109(0)     13
Georgia State                          0-12                          12                          NR(0)      12

Predicted Finishes

1. Louisiana

2.Georgia Southern

3. Arkansas State

4. Louisiana-Monroe

5. South Alabama

6. Appalachian State

7.Texas State

8. Idaho

9.New Mexico State

10. Georgia State

Predicted Sun Belt Champions:

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns

(H/T:  NCAA.com, Phil Steele, and Rivals)

2014 Pre-Season Football Strength Projection- Mountain West Conference

Mountain West Conference            2013 Record           Returning Starters      RRR      CS

Fresno State                                           11-2                                        15                     #81(0)   26
Utah State                                                9-5                                         13                    #106(0)  22
San Diego State                                       8-5                                         12                      #73(0)  20
Boise State                                               8-5                                         15                       #65(0) 23
Colorado State                                        8-6                                         15                       #77(0)  23
UNLV                                                         7-6                                         16                     #111(0) 23
San Jose State                                          6-6                                         15                     #103(0) 21
Wyoming                                                  5-7                                          18                       #96(0) 23
Nevada                                                     4-8                                          19                       #90(0) 23
New Mexico                                             3-9                                          14                       #90(0) 17
Air Force                                                   2-10                                        16                        NR      18
Hawaii                                                       1-11                                        15                    #111(0)  16

Predicted Finishes:

Duke QB Brandon Connette should play a large part in Fresno State’s Offense

1. Fresno State

2. Boise State

3. Colorado State

4. Nevada

5. Wyoming

6. UNLV

7.  Utah State

8. San Jose State

9. San Diego State

10. Air Force

11. New Mexico

12. Hawaii

Predicted MWC Champions:

Fresno State Bulldogs

2014 Pre-Season NCAA Football Strength Projection – Pacific Twelve

Pacific Twelve Conference        2013 Record           Returning Starters          RRR        CS

Oregon                                               11-2                                   15                              #26(0)    26
Stanford                                             11-3                                   14                              #14(3)    28
UCLA                                                   10-3                                   18                              #18(2)    30
Arizona State                                     10-4                                   12                              #21(1)    23
USC                                                      10-4                                  18                               #10(4)   32
Washington                                          9-4                                  15                               #36(0)   24
Arizona                                                  8-5                                  12                               #28(0)   20
Oregon State                                        7-6                                  16                               #54(0)   23
Washington State                                6-7                                  12                                #70(0)  18
Utah                                                       5-7                                  18                                #67(0)   23
Colorado                                               4-8                                   16                                #63(0)   20
California                                               1-11                                15                                #46(0)   16

Predicted Finishes

Big Twelve North

1. Stanford

2. Oregon

3. Washington

4. Oregon State

5. Washington State

6. California

Pacific Twelve South

1. USC

2. UCLA

3. Arizona State

4.  Utah

5. Arizona

6. Colorado

Predicted Pacific Twelve Champion:

USC Trojans

(H/T: NationalChamps.net, Yahoo Sports, and NCAA.com)